Connect with us

Phillies

Phillies vs. Nationals Preview: Odds, Pitching Matchup and Props for Aug. 6

Published

on

Phillies' left-handed starter Cristopher Sánchez high-fives shortstop Trea Turner. Image courtesy of Phillies' Instagram account.
Image courtesy of Phillies' Instagram account.

The Phillies will attempt to take their home series with the Washington Nationals at 6:05 p.m. on Thursday, Aug. 6, trying to bounce back after a deflating extra innings loss the previous day. Philadelphia (61-54) allowed six runs in the decisive 11th inning, turning a tight contest into a blowout and ending a four-game winning streak.

Now they’ll try to bounce back against the Nationals (56-60), sending star lefty Cristopher Sánchez to the mound. As per usual, NBC Sports Philadelphia holds the broadcasting rights to this matchup.

Betting Odds

  • Moneyline: Washington Nationals +303 / Philadelphia Phillies -332

  • Run Line: Washington Nationals +1.5 (+129) / Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 (-154)

  • Over/Under: 9 (Over -100 / Under -120)

Weather

There’s a heat advisory in Philadelphia today, and temperatures won’t cool off much before first pitch. A five percent chance of storms could delay today’s starting time, and humidity above 70 percent won’t do much to cut into the mid-to-high 80s heat. 8 mile per hour winds and 14 mph gusts blowing out of the southwest could push routine fly balls over the wall.

Pitching Matchup

The Nationals will send right-hander Miles Mikolas (5.67 ERA, 108 innings pitched, 1.35 WHIP, 4.58 K/9) to the mound. Philadelphia will counter with Sánchez (2.61 ERA,144.2 innings pitched, 1.20 WHIP and 10.45 K/9), the Cy Young hopeful who has anchored their rotation.

Phillies vs. Miles Mikolas

The Phillies lineup holds a career slash line of .266/.291/.427 against Mikolas, hitting six home runs with 30 strikeouts over 199 career at-bats. Struggling infielder Alec Bohm boasts a .389 batting average (7-for-18), a home run and two doubles, making him a candidate to bounce back; Harper holds a .346 average across 26 at-bats with two double and two homers. Brandon Marsh (.417) and Trea Turner (.323) also see the ball well out of Mikolas’ hand.

J.T. Realmuto, Kyle Schwarber and Bryson Stott have all struggled, on the other hand, so the Phillies’ lineup might show a series of ups and downs.

Props

The prop market begins with Cristopher Sánchez’s strikeout totals, with the over/under set at 7.5 strikeouts; the over currently holds appealing +111 odds.

At the plate, any number of total bases and homers lines for batters like Turner, Harper, Marsh have solid value. Bohm’s season-long rut makes him a strong pick to subvert expectations with favorable odds, while pessimists could look to Realmuto and Stott to underperform.

Tidbits

  • The under has been the more frequent result for Philadelphia when favored, cashing in 50% of those matchups compared to a 43.8% over rate.

  • Washington has hit a significant wall recently, managing just a 2-8 record straight-up over its last 10 contests.

  • Despite their overall season struggles, the Nationals have actually been quite dangerous away from home, posting a winning 33-26 record (.559) on the road.

Click to comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Subscribe to PHL Sports Now

Enter your email address to subscribe to this Philadelphia Sports Now and receive notifications of new posts by email.