Phillies vs. Marlins Preview, Odds, and Pitching Matchup for July 29

The Philadelphia Phillies will try to avoid a sweep at the hands of the moribund Marlins beginning at 12:10 p.m. on Wednesday, July 29 at ET at loanDepot park in Miami. The Phillies (57-51) lost the first two games of the series by one run apiece, falling 1-0 on July 28 after a first inning home run from first baseman Kyle Stowers proved too much for their offense to overcome.

The Phillies hold a 3-7 record over their last ten games; Miami (54-54) entered the series on a 12-game losing streak, but they’ve managed to right the ship against the flailing Phils. As per usual, fans can tune in to NBC Sports Philadelphia to watch this midday matchup.

Betting Odds

• Moneyline: Phillies -157 / Marlins +130
• Run Line: Phillies -1.5 (+111) / Marlins +1.5 (-134)
• Over/Under: 7.5 (Over -113 / Under -107)

Weather

Expect the Marlins to keep their roof closed with the ever-present threat of showers in Miami. Playing in climate-controlled conditions away from the wind and rain, weather shouldn’t impact how the ball flies.

Pitching Matchup

The Miami Marlins are expected to hand the ball to right-hander Ryan Gusto for this afternoon’s contest; Philadelphia will answer with left-hander Jesús Luzardo, who boasts an excellent 3.31 ERA across 122.1 innings pitched. Luzardo makes batters look silly in addition to keeping runs off the board, averaging 11.18 strikeouts per nine innings.

Phillies vs. Ryan Gusto

Gusto is amidst his second season in the big leagues, so he and the Phillies don’t have much of a history. Rookies Gabriel Rincones Jr. (1-for-3 with a homer) and Justin Crawford (2-for-3) both succeeded against Gusto last month, while Bryson Stott drew a pair of free passes.

Brandon Marsh added two hits, while catcher J.T. Realmuto tagged Gusto for another homer. Trea Turner, on the other hand, went 0-for-3; Bryce Harper drew a walk but went hitless in his other two at-bats.

Props

Sportsbooks have yet to release player props for the early afternoon matchup. With Gusto’s matchup against the Phillies’ lineup still something of an unknown, bettors might want to gravitate toward safer picks like Jesús Luzardo’s strikeout totals. More information should filter in as the first pitch approaches.

Tidbits

• The Under has been a highly reliable play for the Philadelphia Phillies on the road this season, cashing in 60.4% of their away contests.
• When stepping onto the field as the betting favorite, the Phillies have compiled a formidable 47-27 straight-up record.
• Philadelphia is looking to right the ship after a tough recent stretch, having gone just 3-7 straight up over their last 10 matchups.
• The Miami Marlins have defended their home turf well throughout the campaign, boasting a 33-23 straight-up record at loanDepot park.
• Miami has found it difficult to pull off upsets, managing a 21-34 record when playing as the betting underdog this season.