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Phillies Look to Avoid Sweep Against Yankees: Game Preview, Odds, and Props

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Phillies' left-handed starter Cristopher Sánchez high-fives shortstop Trea Turner. Image courtesy of Phillies' Instagram account.
Image courtesy of Phillies' Instagram account.

The Philadelphia Phillies (56-49) will conclude a nine game homestand at Citizens Bank Park on July 26, 2026, aiming to avoid a sweep in an interleague clash with the New York Yankees (59-45) on Sunday Night Baseball. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20 p.m. ET, with the broadcast on NBC and Peacock.

Positive momentum has been hard to come by for the Fightins, who hold a 1-4 record over their last five games. The Yankees boast a 4-1 mark in that same span, winning each of the first two games of the series.

Betting Odds

  • Moneyline: Yankees +155 / Phillies -188
  • Run Line: Yankees +1.5 (-141) / Phillies -1.5 (+118)
  • Over/Under: 8 (Over -108 / Under -112)

Weather

Temperatures will sit around 80 degrees at first pitch; the sun will set an hour into the game, and humidity will trend up from 50 percent. A 5 mile per hour breeze from the south-southwest — and gusts up to 12 mph — could help high fly balls clear the fences.

Pitching Matchup

The Yankees will send right-hander Will Warren (4.00 ERA, 1.37 WHIP) to the mound. Through 99.0 innings pitched this season, Warren has been a steady rotation piece for New York, striking out  8.82 batters per nine innings and allowing a .263 batting average.

The Phillies will counter with left-handed All-Star Cristopher Sánchez (2.65 ERA, 1.19 WHIP). Sánchez has logged 132.2 innings and excelled at generating swings and misses, racking up 10.24 strikeouts per nine innings while holding opposing hitters to a .256 average.

Phillies vs. Will Warren

Active Philadelphia batters have combined for a modest 64 career at-bats against Yankees starter Will Warren, and the results have heavily favored the right-hander. J.T. Realmuto has been the most consistent performer in this matchup, leading the team with three hits in his 10 at-bats (.300 AVG). Kyle Schwarber provides the lineup’s lone power threat against Warren; he has gone 2-for-7 (.286 AVG) with two RBIs and the Phillies’ lone homer.

Outside of that duo, Philadelphia’s core has struggled to figure Warren out: Bryce Harper (0-for-9), Trea Turner (2-for-9, .222 AVG), Alec Bohm (1-for-8, 1 RBI) and Bryson Stott (0-for-5) have all failed to generate much offense.

Props

Sánchez’s strikeout prop line is  set at 7.5: with a K/9 rate north of 10, taking the over offers appealing plus-money value at +103.

At the plate, optimistic bettors can target Kyle Schwarber and J.T. Realmuto based on their historical success against Will Warren. Schwarber is the only active Phillie to take the right-hander deep, making him the top candidate on the board to hit a home run at +186 odds. Meanwhile, Realmuto’s .300 career average against Warren makes him an attractive target in the hits and bases markets. Backing the veteran catcher to record over 1.5 total bases holds an enticing +144 return, while playing it safe for him to simply notch over 0.5 hits is priced at -188; for pessimists, betting the under on Phillies’ hitters like Harper and Turner could pay off.

Tidbits

  • The Phillies hold a 46-26 straight-up record as the betting favorite this season.
  • The under has been a dominant trend for both squads recently, hitting in 80 percent of the last 10 games for both Philadelphia and New York.
  • Philadelphia has played to an even .500 mark at Citizens Bank Park this year, sitting at 27-27 in home contests.
  • Over their last 20 games, the Phillies have gone 9-11 straight up, with the under cashing in 70 percent of those matchups.
  • The Yankees boast a 33-22 record away from New York this season.
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